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2015 May, 1st COE Bidding Exercise


yo2020
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rby80p.jpg

 

now with:

44% more Cat A,

28% more Cat B,

100% more Cat C,

14% more Cat D &

54% more Cat E

 

will there b any difference?

 

the est COE quota frm Aug 2015 was computed in Post #380 in this thread: http://www.mycarforum.com/topic/2696791-monthly-sharing-on-dereg-data-projected-coe-quota

 

you tell us bro.... will have faith in you LOL..

 

my bet, Cat A drop 2k, Cat B maint

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Might go down a little more due to the much required additional quota. However, the overall decline in car population has also hasten and this will lend support to the current COE price. Those who scrapped are owners of 10k-20k COE bought in 2005. Hopefully, most of them decide to BMW for at least 3-6 months.

 

Cat A ~ 63k

Cat B ~ 73k

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There are some backlogs and will take 2 bids (May) to clear. When you hear the $100K Altis get their COE, you know the backlog is cleared. $60K (cat A) will be blown away by this tornado. However, if 2K quota is tsunami, then tsunami is not here yet. So don expect prices to be swept away like nobody's business.

 

 

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Supercharged

 

 

now with:

44% more Cat A,

28% more Cat B,

100% more Cat C,

14% more Cat D &

54% more Cat E

 

will there b any difference?

 

the est COE quota frm Aug 2015 was computed in Post #380 in this thread: http://www.mycarforum.com/topic/2696791-monthly-sharing-on-dereg-data-projected-coe-quota

Car show only sold 800... minus 200 used cars... only 600 new.

Cat A+B+E = 2600.

More than enough to fill.

[laugh]

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Turbocharged

y bother analyzing COE every rd? unless one is always trading open Cat coe?

Because it's fun?

 

Think like that - why bother playing / watching soccer?

Or having a round of golf?

Or indeed - going to a nice restaurant for tasty food?

 

I would say that there will still be some "chasing" still to be done to get registrations before the new CEVS kicks in - which is 1st June right?

 

This is a $5k "supporter" for COE for a lot of models

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Was at Kia counter look see look see the K3 at Expo last weekend.

The sale mention they set rebate at $55k for 6 bid non-gurantee.

Rebate $65k for 4 bid gurantee.

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Car show only sold 800... minus 200 used cars... only 600 new.

Cat A+B+E = 2600.

More than enough to fill.

[laugh]

 

Showroom leh....

Toyota, BMW, Merc... all not in car show..

Edited by Tohto
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Turbocharged

Of course there will be a big difference with all these increased quotas available.

 

LTA will be shouting " HUAT AH !!!!"

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y bother analyzing COE every rd? unless one is always trading open Cat coe?

 

 

Analysing COE is like watching prawn. Instead of in out in out, its up down up down. The storylines are always the same, the pattern always the same, the actions always the same. But some how u can't take your eyes off when the actions start.

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Turbocharged

I guess it would be down a bit?

Perhaps barely 5%, due to quite a substantial backlog that would naturally create a base....

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rby80p.jpg

 

now with:

44% more Cat A,

28% more Cat B,

100% more Cat C,

14% more Cat D &

54% more Cat E

 

will there b any difference?

 

the est COE quota frm Aug 2015 was computed in Post #380 in this thread: http://www.mycarforum.com/topic/2696791-monthly-sharing-on-dereg-data-projected-coe-quota

I believe drop a bit, especially CAT A, may be 60 to 63k, because most buyers still holding strategy to monitor few rounds then find the best moment to plunge in

CAT B/E maybe maintain at 73 to 75k around, because this group buyers normally rich family, they don't so care COE fluctuating as long they hunted the ideal car

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Analysing COE is like watching prawn. Instead of in out in out, its up down up down. The storylines are always the same, the pattern always the same, the actions always the same. But some how u can't take your eyes off when the actions start.

 

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