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Have you been following the news on TSMC?


Nolicense
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whilst the news on tsmc and sammy is rather unexpected, under the theme of the trade war, it is the logical step. looks like tsmc and sammy are in for a hard time. 

politics aside, the data is trade secret and bodes ill for private business. 

https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-war/article/3151347/us-demand-chip-supply-data-tsmc-samsung-apple-others-sparks-debate

some say if china invade taiwan, tsmc is the safest place to be. but now tsmc has to invest 100bil in a new us plant. so basically taiwan is worthless without tsmc?

getting rather interesting now this game. :a-popcorn:

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So means what? COE prices will continue to climb? Demand for cars go up but dont have enough microchips to go into new cars. This is our only main concern. Smart devices, game consoles and laptops I think continue to use the old ones should be no issue.

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1 hour ago, Nolicense said:

@kobayashiGT can you change this out of car related discussion?

unless the chips go to car production, then yes this is car related discussion.  lol

 

lol. you never read the headlines of your own link?

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The US Commerce Department has asked for supply chain data from tech giants and carmakers, including TSMC, Intel, Samsung, Apple, Microsoft, Daimler and BMW

//

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59 minutes ago, Watwheels said:

So means what? COE prices will continue to climb? Demand for cars go up but dont have enough microchips to go into new cars. This is our only main concern. Smart devices, game consoles and laptops I think continue to use the old ones should be no issue.

most cars still use older chips. funny that they ask tsmc

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5 minutes ago, ToyotaShuttle said:

 

lol. you never read the headlines of your own link?

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The US Commerce Department has asked for supply chain data from tech giants and carmakers, including TSMC, Intel, Samsung, Apple, Microsoft, Daimler and BMW

//

small proportion of the chips tsmc and sammy make go to cars. but they are asked for all their data. very sus

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Am very surprised PRC has not managed to grow their domestic semiconductor industry to be able to match up to at the very least, the Taiwanese. Same same chinese people, same drive and work ethic. How come still need to depend on chip production from outside?

No doubt, advanced chip-making depends a lot on the production equipment which are mainly from Japanese or US manufacturers, but same thing here, if PRC can grow their semicon industry, they will also soon have leading production equipment companies.

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3 minutes ago, Sosaria said:

Am very surprised PRC has not managed to grow their domestic semiconductor industry to be able to match up to at the very least, the Taiwanese. Same same chinese people, same drive and work ethic. How come still need to depend on chip production from outside?

No doubt, advanced chip-making depends a lot on the production equipment which are mainly from Japanese or US manufacturers, but same thing here, if PRC can grow their semicon industry, they will also soon have leading production equipment companies.

ASML can’t sell EUV machine to China. How to grow?
TSMC, Samsung and Intel rely on ASML.

1 year, ASML only produce 50 machines

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21 minutes ago, Sosaria said:

Am very surprised PRC has not managed to grow their domestic semiconductor industry to be able to match up to at the very least, the Taiwanese. Same same chinese people, same drive and work ethic. How come still need to depend on chip production from outside?

No doubt, advanced chip-making depends a lot on the production equipment which are mainly from Japanese or US manufacturers, but same thing here, if PRC can grow their semicon industry, they will also soon have leading production equipment companies.

its very knowledge intensive, standards based and dependent on  economy of scale due to very low margins on some products.

in 1980s dram market. toshiba grew very big and intel nearly bankrupted. us entrapped toshiba engineers selling them dram tech. then charged them. they slapped sanctions on toshiba. gave the dram standard to sammy and killed toshiba. theres a vid somewhere that explains this in detail. however japan still has the market for chemicals in semicon.

read carl zeiss, asml, nikon all non us companies are the only few equipment companies. if prc cant buy from them, it will take decades to grow their own asml and nikon.

 

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3 hours ago, inlinesix said:

ASML can’t sell EUV machine to China. How to grow?
TSMC, Samsung and Intel rely on ASML.

1 year, ASML only produce 50 machines

Not sure about photolitho machines but I worked on other semicon equipment before. Basically are mechatronic systems, pick n place, vacuum, high temp, on/off gases and chemicals, add rf or microwave, etc. Combination of these things. Should be do-able. It's the recipes to make these chips that are the show-stopper but then am surprised espionage cannot get hold of these when even military secrets are leaked.

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1 minute ago, Sosaria said:

Not sure about photolitho machines but I worked on other semicon equipment before. Basically are mechatronic systems, pick n place, vacuum, high temp, on/off gases and chemicals, add rf or microwave, etc. Combination of these things. Should be do-able. It's the recipes to make these chips that are the show-stopper but then am surprised espionage cannot get hold of these when even military secrets are leaked.

Even with the availability of photolithography machine, the chemical used to print the wafer is not a knowledge easily accessible.

In 2019, a new wafer fab was set up in Wuhan. The company went bankrupt in 2021.

Only SMIC has the scale and know how.

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Cars using very old fashion chips which are more expensive. If car manufacturers are open to change, using newer chips, am sure they will have easier access and cheaperer price. Need to re-program everything though.

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It’s the whole eco system. Not so easy. Like the rest mentioned, it’s the equipment, the chemicals and adherence to processes. Typical China business all want the quick buck. Unless the govt pumps in a lot of money and no one in the chain “cheats”. Then maybe can be successful. 

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