Surging fuel prices shake Singapore's electricity market

[steveluv]

https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Energy/Surging-fuel-prices-shake-Singapore-s-electricity-market?utm_campaign=GL_asia_daily&utm_medium=email&utm_source=NA_newsletter&utm_content=article_link&del_type=1&pub_date=20211021190000&seq_num=11&si=44594

Surging fuel prices shake Singapore's electricity market
Gas-reliant country urges power companies to 'at least meet' retail demand

Singapore's heavy reliance on imported gas has left the city-state vulnerable to surging energy prices.   © AP
KENTARO IWAMOTO and DYLAN LOH, Nikkei staff writersOctober 21, 2021 14:34 JST

SINGAPORE -- Singapore is taking "extraordinary" steps to secure energy supplies as rising fuel prices hit the import-reliant country's electricity market, with three retail suppliers in just over a week announcing they will halt services.

While the government insists energy supplies remain sufficient, its moves come amid global concerns over tight electricity supplies that threaten both businesses and consumers.

On Tuesday, Singapore's Energy Market Authority said it will make government fuel reserves available to power companies in the event gas supplies are affected or there is a need to ensure reliable electricity supply. It also asked the companies to secure enough fuel to "at least meet the demands of customers of their retail arms."

"These pre-emptive measures are extraordinary but necessary to secure our fuel and electricity supply," the authority explained in a statement.

While surging fuel prices have been seen worldwide, Singapore is in a unique position as about 95% of its electricity is generated from imported natural gas. This gas is delivered via pipeline from neighboring Indonesia and Malaysia or shipped in liquefied form from other gas exporters.

Over the past months, spot liquified natural gas prices rose sharply due to increased demand from China and elsewhere while gas and coal production dropped. Meanwhile, gas supplies via pipeline to Singapore have been affected by upstream production issues in an Indonesian gas field, the EMA said, with reduced output expected to last until the end of the year.

Singapore generates nearly 95% of its electricity using imported gas. © Reuters

"The Singapore power crunch is certainly alarming," said Ken Lee, a senior analyst at energy research company Wood Mackenzie, pointing out that wholesale power prices averaged $115 Singapore dollars ($85) per megawatt-hour from January to September, but shot up to SG$635 this month as of Oct. 19.

Lee said that higher power demand has also contributed to the price spike, noting that Singapore consumed about 5% more electricity this year compared with the same period last year due to a rebound from slow economic activity last year.

Disruption in the local market is forcing some electricity retailers that had offered cheaper plans for households to pull out.

Earlier this week, Best Electricity Supply, which entered the market in 2015, announced it would exit the business on Thursday, citing "unexpected volatile conditions in the energy market." The company became the third retailer to pull out of the local electricity market in just over a week.

"Retailers, especially independent retailers who do not own physical power plants, have suffered the most," Wood Mackenzie's Lee explained. "Such retailers were unable to manage power supply price risk as many of them have entered into fixed-price retail contracts with end-users."

One longer-term question is how the power crunch might affect local businesses. Singapore's core manufacturing sectors include chemicals and electronics, both of which consume large amounts of electricity.

"We have not heard anything with regards to industries and manufacturing being impacted. However, the industries that have not signed fixed-price retail contracts will very likely be impacted as they won't be shielded from the current price spikes," Lee said.

Some businesses are already bracing for possible impacts.

Since July, Singapore medical equipment maker Racer Technology has seen its power consumption expenses creep up. CEO Willy Koh told Nikkei Asia that electricity costs have increased by about 30% across the company's factories in the city-state amid the current energy crunch.

"Right now we have a labor shortage, then we have power [costs] going up, so we are very worried in the manufacturing line," he said, referring to a shortage of workers due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The cost of production is "getting higher and higher."

Koh said he is looking to lock in energy contracts to secure power supplies at a fixed rate but only once electricity costs come down from their current highs.

French energy technology provider Schneider Electric is advising its corporate clients in Singapore to use their power more efficiently.

"Our customers are not spared the impact of the current energy crunch and their pain points are the potentially unstable supply, unpredictable [and] increasing energy costs, and how to increase their resiliency in case of a power outage or reduction," Yoon Young Kim, Schneider's regional president for Singapore, Malaysia and Brunei, told Nikkei.

As far as households are concerned, electricity tariffs of state-owned Singapore Power are set at 24.11 Singapore cents per kilowatt-hour for the October-December quarter, up 12.5% from a year earlier.

The government has urged residents to conserve electricity over the coming months, but electricity consumption is crucial for air conditioning in the tropical nation, especially with more people working from home. Higher utility bills could potentially cool consumption sentiment, which in turn would weigh on the economy as it begins to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic.
 

[Jamesc]

When oil was minus $37 a barrel none of these electric companies were complaining.

Don't they know prices can go up as well as down?

And past prices is not an indictor of future prices.

[Jamesc]

I never understood how these companies can offer fixed price contracts

at such low prices.

I wonder if these companies has a risk management officer?

[Jamesc]

Maybe they will just ask

What is a risk management officer?

[Jamesc]

I wonder if any of these companies did risk assessment?

Risk assessment is simi har?

[Jamesc]

After reading this in MCF maybe tomorrow they ask

HR faster get one of this risk management officers I read about in MCF.

And after they join faster ask them do one of this risk assessment reports.

[Jamesc]

Forget financial times

MCF is a must read for CEOs

And its so much easier to understand than financial times!

[Jamesc]

 

[Jamesc]

 

[Jamesc]

What if I sell lots of contracts at 16 cents for 2 or 3 years

and the price of gas goes up?

This is risk assessment.

[Jamesc]

 

[Jamesc]

[Volvobrick]

No need risk management - Fixed price contract if oil prices drop the retailers would have laughed all the way to the bank.

Not that ir has risen instead, they just stop the biz and terminate the contracts without any compensation, not even declaring themselves bankrupt (And EMA is keeping very quiet on this).  Just wait for a while then do the same thing again.  And this time lock consumers in at high fixed prices.

Head they win, tail we lose.

 

[Fitvip]

7 hours ago, Jamesc said:

Wah, Jamesc, 15 posts at one go ah? Hypersonic still clocking posts huh?

[Victor68]

7 hours ago, Jamesc said:

I never understood how these companies can offer fixed price contracts

at such low prices.

I wonder if these companies has a risk management officer?

EMA allows gambling for electricity retailing. I think the current thinking is, no loss to subscribers, they can alaways switch and they have other retailer to support. But when subscribers loss ok. Win banker runs away. Surely they have to pay for the bet they lost right? 

[Kopites]

7 hours ago, Volvobrick said:

No need risk management - Fixed price contract if oil prices drop the retailers would have laughed all the way to the bank.

Not that ir has risen instead, they just stop the biz and terminate the contracts without any compensation, not even declaring themselves bankrupt (And EMA is keeping very quiet on this).  Just wait for a while then do the same thing again.  And this time lock consumers in at high fixed prices.

Head they win, tail we lose.

 

 

Sound like those automobile resales dealer.  😀

[mersaylee]

1 hour ago, Fitvip said:

Wah, Jamesc, 15 posts at one go ah? Hypersonic still clocking posts huh?

When it cums to RM...he just can't stop...just like the other RM...😁

[Inlinefour]

up or down MIW still laughing to the bank 😂😂😂

 

Oops wrong laughing inside ivory tower cos never on ground before 🤣🤣🤣