Putin starts “military operation” on Ukraine

[macrosszero]

On 10/10/2024 at 2:06 PM, Ender said:

 

Good words, but ineffective when all partners lack the political will bring this to its realization.

 

 

To me, this is consequential as Türkiye holds the keys to the Black Sea.

It may not be visible now but who they choose to let through the Bosporus Strait or not, can be important in the mid to long term.

[Ender]

On 10/9/2024 at 1:15 PM, Ender said:

There are reports that Russia is using drones to drop grenade on civilians. They fly the drones in the middle of the city and hunt civilians. It's terrorism. Kherson is in the south of Ukraine. Not part of the eastern Ukraine. 

 

The Russian channels are posting these videos themselves. They are kinda of proud doing these terror acts. Just like the execution of Ukrainian prisoners that is getting more prevalent. They shot the video, and posted on their channels to gloat.

 

Edited October 11 by Ender

[Ender]

Any comments?

Luhansk and Donetsk, imo, are lost. I don't see a near future that Ukraine taking them back by military actions. Ukraine currently is not able to defend these regions, due to Russia superior fire power (5:1 Arty shell) and air power (Glide bombs) and unlimited bodies count. Ukraine's frontline Air defense are probably handicapped or mostly disabled.

However on the South (Kherson and Zaporizhzha), the frontline hardly changed since the last Summer counteroffensive. These two regions, UKraine may have some chance of taking it back if western partners give them more fire power and air power than the last counter offensive. They can cut logistic line of the eastern Land bridge and the Kerch Bridge. So in my noob military opinion, maybe these regions should have better defense til western partners agrees to fulfil and act on full support.

But Sirsky seems to think Kursk is more important than the two regions. Moving soldiers from Kherson and Zaporizhzhia might trigger a frontline changes.

 

 

[Ender]

Wow, Ukraine may have an answer to Su34/35 FAB bombers at the Eastern Frontline. This may level the playing field.  But Russia still have superior arty fire and FPV drone ratio. This news came from Russian channel.

If this news is true, hope to see more details, like how far was the shot taken by the F16? Did the SU34 not notice the presence of the F16?  Currently Su34/35 can freely fly into Ukraine and drop the FAB bombs due to Ukraine lack of frontline air defenses.  Now they have to think twice.

 

 

I don't know if this is the missile, but reports that Ukraine has them.

 

Edited October 12 by Ender

[Kb27]

SU-34 pilot too busy dropping glide bombs to kill civilians. He didn't noticed a missile has crept up his ass. 😁

Even if he tries to run away the glide bombs are too heavy weighing the SU-34 down.

Hope to see more kills. 😀

[Ghgan]

 

[Kb27]

fatso kim send 10,000 soldiers to russia. russia form them into Buryat battalion, since they look alike.

18 smart ones already disappeared. Since they can't defect at home, this is the easier way. 😁

 

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/10/15/7479792/

Russia formed "Buryat battalion" staffed by North Koreans, but 18 soldiers have already deserted

The Russians have assembled a "special Buryat battalion" made up of citizens recruited from the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, but 18 North Korean personnel have already escaped from positions on the border of Russia's Bryansk and Kursk oblasts.

Source: Ukrainska Pravda sources in Ukraine’s special services

Details: According to Ukrainska Pravda, the desertions took place 7 km from the state border with Ukraine.

A UP source in special services said the reasons for the North Koreans' desertion were unknown, and the Russian forces have begun looking for them, while attempting to conceal this information from the higher command.

Reports had previously circulated concerning the formation of a "special Buryat battalion" staffed by North Koreans in the Russian army.

The number of personnel in the unit is estimated at up to 3,000.

The battalion is likely to be involved in combat activities around the settlements of Sudzha and Kursk.

[Ender]

On 10/16/2024 at 9:14 AM, Kb27 said:

fatso kim send 10,000 soldiers to russia. russia form them into Buryat battalion, since they look alike.

18 smart ones already disappeared. Since they can't defect at home, this is the easier way. 😁

 

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/10/15/7479792/

Russia formed "Buryat battalion" staffed by North Koreans, but 18 soldiers have already deserted

The Russians have assembled a "special Buryat battalion" made up of citizens recruited from the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, but 18 North Korean personnel have already escaped from positions on the border of Russia's Bryansk and Kursk oblasts.

Source: Ukrainska Pravda sources in Ukraine’s special services

Details: According to Ukrainska Pravda, the desertions took place 7 km from the state border with Ukraine.

A UP source in special services said the reasons for the North Koreans' desertion were unknown, and the Russian forces have begun looking for them, while attempting to conceal this information from the higher command.

Reports had previously circulated concerning the formation of a "special Buryat battalion" staffed by North Koreans in the Russian army.

The number of personnel in the unit is estimated at up to 3,000.

The battalion is likely to be involved in combat activities around the settlements of Sudzha and Kursk.

I was about to post this.

Anyway, I feel this is a major escalation. Russia set one major red line for was no western soldiers or personnel be in direct battle. If Russia allows a foreign nations to send troops to their aid, even if to defend their Kursk, Ukriane should be allowed to have partner country's soldiers inside Ukraine to defend Ukriane land for fair play. 

[Kb27]

Ukraine to get 49 Abrams M1A1 from Australia 😁

 

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-16/ukraine-to-receive-aging-australian-abrams-tanks/104480368

Ukraine to receive aging Abrams tanks in latest Australian military aid package

Dozens of soon-to-be-retired Australian Abrams tanks will be sent to Ukraine under a $245 million military support package to bolster the war-torn country's fight against Russia's invasion.

More than a year after Kyiv first expressed interest in the aging M1A1 fleet, and months after Australia rejected a request to donate its grounded Taipan helicopters, the Albanese government has confirmed it will now gift 49 of the American-made tanks.

Defence Industry Minister Pat Conroy, who is attending a NATO defence ministers meeting in Brussels this week, will brief his Ukrainian counterpart directly about the latest support package.

"We stand shoulder-to-shoulder with Ukraine in their fight against Russia's illegal invasion," Mr Conroy said while in London, where he's meeting members of the UK government before travelling to NATO.

"These tanks will deliver more firepower and mobility to the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and complement the support provided by our partners for Ukraine's armoured brigades — Australia has been steadfast in our support for Ukraine."

"As we face a challenging geo-strategic environment, it is important that we continue to work together with our partners around the world to deter aggression and coercion, and protect the global rules-based order."

Mr Conroy told reporters it was "time to move on" from the controversy over the Australian Army's decision to strip and bury its Taipan helicopters instead of agreeing to a formal request from Ukraine for the grounded aircraft.

In recent weeks, Australia has received the first of its 75 newer M1A2 tanks, which will eventually replace the army's fleet of 59 older M1A1 vehicles that have never been used in combat.

Australia's transfer of its aging Abrams to a "third country" has required permission from the United States under its International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR) despite Washington last year sending 31 of its own M1A1 tanks to Ukraine.

As Australia's older M1A1 vehicles are reaching the end of their life, a small number will require remediation work before being delivered to Europe, or they could simply be sent quickly to Ukraine and used for spare parts or other roles.

Ukraine's ambassador to Australia, Vasyl Myroshnychenko, has welcomed the donation of Australia's Abrams tanks, describing the move as a "significant contribution" that will save lives in his country.

"These tanks will be an essential part of our land defences, and we have already been operating some of those tanks, which we've been provided by the Americans in the past, so we already have teams of people who know how to use that equipment," the ambassador told the ABC.

"The armour they have, the missiles that they also use will be of huge help to Ukrainians on the battlefield, especially where we build those defence lines."

Ukraine-based defence consultant JC Dodson, who helped with the initial negotiations to transfer Australia's Abrams, says the vehicles should arrive at the battlefront at a faster rate than normal.

"One of the unique elements of the Australian tanks is that they're in reasonably good working order. The fact the Ukrainians already have some M1A1s in theatre from the allies suggests there's a good logistics chain there as well as some training," he told the ABC.

The latest announcement will bring the total value of Australia's military assistance to Ukraine since the start of the war to more than $1.3 billion, while overall government support now tops $1.5 billion.

[Ender]

Why? The difference in nature is Russia vs Iran and proxies. 

 

 

[Ender]

There might be another nuclear power nation. Ukraine wouldn't have to choose this if only the western partners, like USA were more committed in delivering their promises and not restrict Ukraine of western weapons usage finish the job 2 years back. Ukraine literally had Russia running away then, before Russia learnt from their mistakes and removed corrupted officials.

 

[Kb27]

Ukraine can quickly rebuild nuclear weapons. They had it before, they don't need to start from scratch.

If they sense they are losing, backed to the wall, and NATO allies is abandoning it; they will build and use it on russia. Bomb the Kremlin, if they have to.

A cornered cat will drag its enemy to hell along with it.

That is what existential threat is about.

 

Worried about putin's red lines ?

Now, you should worry about Ukraine's red lines.

Edited October 18 by Kb27

[Kb27]

 

[Ender]

On 10/18/2024 at 9:08 AM, Kb27 said:

Ukraine can quickly rebuild nuclear weapons. They had it before, they don't need to start from scratch.

If they sense they are losing, backed to the wall, and NATO allies is abandoning it; they will build and use it on russia. Bomb the Kremlin, if they have to.

A cornered cat will drag its enemy to hell along with it.

That is what existential threat is about.

 

Worried about putin's red lines ?

Now, you should worry about Ukraine's red lines.

I am sure the Biden's gang would strongly disagree to this. But only themselves to blame if Ukrane goes this way for their half hearted aids and being fickle minded of whether they want Ukraine into NATO or not. 

[macrosszero]

On 10/17/2024 at 4:15 AM, Ender said:

Why? The difference in nature is Russia vs Iran and proxies. 

 

 

This unfortunately signals that to acquire nuclear weapons is to secure restraint and respect from even the lead global superpower

[Ender]

This administration going to leave a legacy of being weak,  allowing Russia to escalate, but handicapping Ukraine in the name of de-escalation. Promise huge aids, but trickle the deliveries in small quantities enough to make impact for a week of two only.  With this statement, it is going down as the administration of lame excuses too.

We have to ask why Iran and N Korea are so consistent to supplying arty ammos and drone, missiles. And yet, the USA and partners can't keep up even though the promised aids are not fully used up or delivered yet. 

 

 

Edited October 18 by Ender

[Playtime]

On 10/18/2024 at 9:08 AM, Kb27 said:

Ukraine can quickly rebuild nuclear weapons. They had it before, they don't need to start from scratch.

If they sense they are losing, backed to the wall, and NATO allies is abandoning it; they will build and use it on russia. Bomb the Kremlin, if they have to.

A cornered cat will drag its enemy to hell along with it.

That is what existential threat is about.

 

Worried about putin's red lines ?

Now, you should worry about Ukraine's red lines.

Imo... the ultimate  fault fir today's situation lies in putins Megalomania, but  is not that easy for Ukraine even if they want to unlike Europeans,  Japan or even Taiwan. Though it once had nukes,  it's been 3 decades and much of its industry has been devastated. 

Perhaps a nuclear dirty bomb with nuclear waste is more realistic.  Make Moscow radioactively great again🤔... pretty much the same effect. 

[Sturtles]

On 10/19/2024 at 1:06 PM, Playtime said:

Imo... the ultimate  fault fir today's situation lies in putins Megalomania, but  is not that easy for Ukraine even if they want to unlike Europeans,  Japan or even Taiwan. Though it once had nukes,  it's been 3 decades and much of its industry has been devastated. 

Perhaps a nuclear dirty bomb with nuclear waste is more realistic.  Make Moscow radioactively great again🤔... pretty much the same effect. 

That is disappointing.

Hopefully your predictions comes true so Ukraine can return victorious to a habitable homeland, or perhaps Canada, if it becomes inhospitable 

Edited October 19 by Sturtles