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157 replies to this topic | 256 praises

#141

Posted 20 January 2019 - 11:04 AM

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there is a 3 weeks gap plus after a car show, COE for CAT A will likely to go up. But without uber/grab, it should not go up by too much. Maybe $2k  to 3k there about. 

Cat B wise, the demand has been steady and it is less likely to be affected by promo during car show, so maybe $1k more. all these are guess work, we will know by 4pm on Wed. 

 

This year car show like haven't announce their sales volume  [laugh]


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#142

Posted 20 January 2019 - 12:41 PM

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This year car show like haven't announce their sales volume [laugh]

There is different between have not and dare not . Or maybe they are contemplating number laundering Haha.

#143

Posted 20 January 2019 - 12:43 PM

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This year car show like haven't announce their sales volume [laugh]

Sales too good, need longer time to compile. 😄
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#144

Posted 20 January 2019 - 04:35 PM

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Actually your answer is not 100% also.

You see, new quota is based on number of deregistrations. Correct? So now the question is, how many of the those who deregistered their cars are looking for new cars? That is crucial.

Cos you can have 10000 deregistrations per month but all 10000 are looking for new cars. That leaves nothing for new car buyers and trade ins (but never deregistered their car).

So while quota is something to discuss over, what is also important is how many of those deregistering are NOT buying new cars and how non car owners are aspiring to own one (pent up demand) and how many people trade in their cars for new ones as opposed to scrap first then buy new car.

Two cents.

There will be a period in 2019 where the deregister number will drop fairly big vs previous month.
That will be the best time to buy as supply is still big but demand is low.
Don’t miss the last boat.
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#145

Posted 20 January 2019 - 06:16 PM

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This year car show like haven't announce their sales volume  [laugh]

 

Think they don't bother to announce already... 


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#146

Posted 20 January 2019 - 06:30 PM

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This year car show like haven't announce their sales volume [laugh]

I heard from the radio, "This car show helps to increase sales by about 30% from normal". Dunno what they exactly mean though

#147

Posted 21 January 2019 - 06:46 AM

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Think they don't bother to announce already...


Their press release after the show is out, but dont see any stats. Maybe need some time to collate , too many.

#148

Posted 21 January 2019 - 08:34 AM

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Think they don't bother to announce already...

Number too small, no one bothers to know.

I heard from the radio, "This car show helps to increase sales by about 30% from normal". Dunno what they exactly mean though

Dealers know very well that no matter how they promo, there are only limited amount of COE, too many booking would mean they are unable to fulfill some of the bookings, worse is they have to sacrifice their margin by bidding higher. They dont like car show, it is the organizers like SPH who want to run car show to make money.

Edited by Ct3833, 21 January 2019 - 08:34 AM.


#149

Posted 21 January 2019 - 01:49 PM

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Bidding started. No new thread? Anyway predict 27k
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#150

Posted 21 January 2019 - 02:02 PM

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if this round bidding is weak

 

then the rest of 2019 will be hosay liao


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#151

Posted 21 January 2019 - 05:18 PM

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Bidding started. No new thread? Anyway predict 27k

 

I think your prediction might be correct. The quota for this bidding is 1818 and is just after the Motor Show, which is similar to the status of 1st bidding in November with the quota of 1819 and is just after the Car Expo in October.

 

                          Quota        COE                                                                   Bid received

1st Jan 2019:     1815        25920 (just before Singapore Motor Show)             2707 

2nd Jan 2019:    1818        ~ increase by 1-2k

 

2nd OCtober      1674        25556  (just before Car expo)                                  1811

1st Nov 2018      1819        28199                                                                      2849

2nd Nov 2018     1818        25000                                                                      2231


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#152

Posted 21 January 2019 - 05:20 PM

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if this round bidding is weak

 

then the rest of 2019 will be hosay liao

This round bidding may not weak cause due to motorshow?!


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#153

Posted 21 January 2019 - 06:38 PM

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This round bidding may not weak cause due to motorshow?!

 

shouldn't be weak if not will crash soon  [smash]



#154

Posted 21 January 2019 - 06:58 PM

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Bidding started. No new thread? Anyway predict 27k

Calling Carbon82
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#155

Posted 21 January 2019 - 08:54 PM

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shouldn't be weak if not will crash soon  [smash]

Crash? Not going to happen de, maybe just decreased few more k only.


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#156

Posted 21 January 2019 - 10:47 PM

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Crash? Not going to happen de, maybe just decreased few more k only.

 

There are still people waiting for durian to drop. 


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#157

Posted 22 January 2019 - 01:14 PM

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There are still people waiting for durian to drop. 

Coe consider quite low liao, still waiting for that durian to drop?  :lll._.:


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#158

Posted 24 January 2019 - 11:38 AM

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Coe consider quite low liao, still waiting for that durian to drop?  :lll._.:

 

Maybe they worry for their rice bowl, considering the current downhill trend of the economy  :scared:




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