Jump to content

H7N9 outbreak


Duckduck
 Share

Recommended Posts

looks like that could be a perfect storm brewing - flu outbreak in the region (akin to SARS 2003) followed by global financial crisis and recession all at the same time. Maybe throw in a few wars and natural disasters?

 

perfect black swan

↡ Advertisement
Link to post
Share on other sites

looks like that could be a perfect storm brewing - flu outbreak in the region (akin to SARS 2003) followed by global financial crisis and recession all at the same time. Maybe throw in a few wars and natural disasters?

 

perfect black swan

 

I dun think that's something a sane person would wish for.

Link to post
Share on other sites

is this more dangerous than H1N1?

Yes, by far. The case fatality rate of H1N1 is much less than 1%. In contrast, the data so far (it's ever-changing) shows that H7N9 has a case fatality rate of 26%. Meaning that if you've got this bug, you have more than a 1 in 4 chance of dying from it.

 

The limited transmissibility is the only thing keeping this in check at this stage. If the virus becomes easily transmissible *while maintaining the same high kill rate* - this is a big if, but IF that happens - we're in for very bad times.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...