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The Perfect Storm of the Stock Market III

Wt_know

By Wt_know,
in Investment & Financial Matters

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Throttle2

Throttle2

Supersonic
On 12/21/2023 at 1:09 PM, Voodooman said:

Ok. I am also in the 5-10% range now, save for some bank and REIT stocks I bought during last GFC.  Hoping to reduce to 3-5% handle in the next 1-2 years.

 

3-5% is where i am.  
10% is my threshold for single counter. 

But it also depends on the size of portfolio. 
your portfolio must also be in the millions, i reckon
 

many people ask me how to invest their $300k $500k even $1m portfolio and for that i usually tell them to be more focussed . No point hving more than 10 lines of securities in a small port.  Just focus on 5 - 10 solid names max.  good enough

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Voodooman

Voodooman

Supersonic
On 12/21/2023 at 1:27 PM, Throttle2 said:

Its ok lah. Cant win on every bet.  

i bought HStech at that point becos it seemed to hv more legs to run and i had zero chinese or tech exposure.  
and i was right becos it shot up 35%, but then all the unforseeable political play came in.   
 

 

Yalor, HST looks to be a good bet then. It was quite beaten down when I entered, anchored by the Chinese growth story.  

Thinking if I should adopt a cut loss strategy going forward but I was never much of a trader. When you are bottom fishing, it is hard to cut losses, hence the big losses I am seeing now as I averaged down tranche after tranche. The 10% cap probably saved my ass. 😂😂😂

Maybe better to just stick to dividend and passive investing via global funds.

 

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Voodooman

Voodooman

Supersonic
On 12/21/2023 at 1:38 PM, Throttle2 said:

To clarify, i did hold more than 10%-15% in various funds from time to time, but not pure single counter

Yes. I was referring to single counter (exclude Index fund) too.  

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Throttle2

Throttle2

Supersonic
On 12/21/2023 at 1:23 PM, Throttle2 said:

hstech i was up usd 35k , held on and now down almost usd50k 🤣😂

and thats why we diversify.  Becos investing isnt about each single bet , its about it entirety. 
 

I would mind if hstech goes to zero if my portfolio is up 10%….😎😎

Typo corrections.

I wouldnt mind if hstech goes to zero but my port is up 10%

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Wt_know

Wt_know

Supersonic
  • Author
(edited)

Dow … all time high !!!

S&P500 … all time high !!!

Nasdaq … alll time high !!!

ho ho ho … xmas comes early

huat huat huat !!!

Edited by Wt_know
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Yeshe

Yeshe

Turbocharged
On 12/20/2023 at 9:04 PM, Lala81 said:

Commodities is going to weaken in a weak global economy.

But i think Oil maybe fine as the tensions in the middle east is supporting it. Bought a bit of CNOOC yesterday. 

 

 

Always love that counter, had an entry once at HKD7.... Never seen it again 

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Yeshe

Yeshe

Turbocharged
On 12/21/2023 at 12:27 AM, Throttle2 said:

Its ok lah. Cant win on every bet.  

i bought HStech at that point becos it seemed to hv more legs to run and i had zero chinese or tech exposure.  
and i was right becos it shot up 35%, but then all the unforseeable political play came in.   
 

 

U got a story to tell if it ever recovers to glory days

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Throttle2

Throttle2

Supersonic
On 12/23/2023 at 2:46 AM, Yeshe said:

U got a story to tell if it ever recovers to glory days

Hopefully got a cool story.  Up $35k, down $85k and up $100k 

huat ah…….

Dreamimg….

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Wt_know

Wt_know

Supersonic
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(edited)
On 12/21/2023 at 1:47 PM, Voodooman said:

Yalor, HST looks to be a good bet then. It was quite beaten down when I entered, anchored by the Chinese growth story.  

i am also thinking to cut ... when rebound a bit ... [bigcry] 

2023-12-24_185139.jpg

Edited by Wt_know
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Wt_know

Wt_know

Supersonic
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(edited)

is it too late to FOMO in now? 

with the anticipation of fed cut rates in 2024 ...

TLT will cheong to the moon ? :grin:

2023-12-26_205214.jpg

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Throttle2

Throttle2

Supersonic
(edited)
On 12/24/2023 at 6:53 PM, Wt_know said:

i am also thinking to cut ... when rebound a bit ... [bigcry] 

2023-12-24_185139.jpg

Well if you hv better use for the money, just cut.

i have too much cash sitting around as it is, so i will continue to take my bet on it.

sigh i slowly wait and wait.  Try to sell bit by bit when it goes up.  
 

definitely one of my worst punts in terms of results.   But i was up usd35k on it.   Was greedy, didnt walk away

Edited by Throttle2
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ccc888

ccc888

4th Gear
On 12/26/2023 at 8:53 PM, Wt_know said:

is it too late to FOMO in now? 

with the anticipation of fed cut rates in 2024 ...

TLT will cheong to the moon ? :grin:

2023-12-26_205214.jpg

Already priced in 100bps cut in 2024 liao.

Unless u buy TLT to hedge abit against yr equity portfolio in case black swan event (exclude 2nd wave hyperinflation)

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Enye

Enye

Hypersonic

wah siao one....last few trading days of the year so bullish unlike previous years quiet quiet de

why the optimism?

😬

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