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2015 Oct, 2nd COE Bidding Exercise


yo2020
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I mean if given a choice, who wanna buy used?

Cannot afford new, then 2nd hand at inflated price .

 

Guess so but i hope ppl realise that going that way is just digging your hole deeper and deeper. Already cant afford to buy new, end up paying even more (in terms of yearly depreciation) for buying used. At next change of car, will lose even more money = even more cannot buy new car and the vicious cycle continues.

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Hopefully these people buy bikes or take bus and mrt.

 

Otherwise they are just jumping to a big BANKRUPT hole.

Guess so but i hope ppl realise that going that way is just digging your hole deeper and deeper. Already cant afford to buy new, end up paying even more (in terms of yearly depreciation) for buying used. At next change of car, will lose even more money = even more cannot buy new car and the vicious cycle continues.

 

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The crowd at VW at Vivo last Sat quite good.. but then the entire Vivo very crowded.. [:p]

 

Price for Golf start from $99,800.. I also kaypoh go look see.. [cool]

 

If I was there, I will also go to the VW road show kapoh, look see look see and get in/out of different car.  :grin:  :grin:

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Used car market now very inflated.

 

Yap. I had gave up looking at used car because the selling price just don't make sense..

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If I was there, I will also go to the VW road show kapoh, look see look see and get in/out of different car.  :grin:  :grin:

 

Yup.. went sit in Golf & Jetta and found the center hump quite high.. if got 3 pax sitting behind the center fella will be uncomfortable.. driving position for the Golf quite good tho, a bit feel like race car driver.. [laugh]

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On point 3, if the number of re-validation spike to 1000 and per bidding COE quota is left with 600, will COE premium hit $90K, similar to the time when the quota was around 400? Or like you said, will the premium drop?

those who re-validate, will quit COE bidding for now.

Yes, the supply for the COE will reduced, but that is for the next quarter.

 

So, current COE price will fall. Because of less bidders.

Future, next Q will rise because of less COE.

 

But then, if the COE premium gets soft now, those sitting on the fence to re-validate COE might change their mind.

We do not know the dynamic at the moment.

 

maybe, we will have stable COE supply....

but with big swing of COE premium....

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hmm ... looks like COE revalidations beginng to have a real impact on the quota of COEs.

 

i think so too. High COE premium increases re-validation. High re-validation deceases COE supply. Decreased COE supply increases COE premium, which further increases re-validation. But the number is still small (10%) and may not spiral up. 

 

Uber may have indirectly caused this. Car owners cannot find reasonable used-car because the prices have been inflated by the Uber Saga. Hence, they renew COE and causes supply to fall. 

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My guess/prediction: GREENS (at least for Cat A, B, and E) for this round of COE bidding exercise... [laugh]

 

May have a chance to go below 50k mark this round...?

 

 

 

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My guess/prediction: GREENS (at least for Cat A, B, and E) for this round of COE bidding exercise... [laugh]

 

May have a chance to go below 50k mark this round...?

I also hope more greens, but below $50K? You never give up, haha

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Supercharged

Uber may have indirectly caused this. Car owners cannot find reasonable used-car because the prices have been inflated by the Uber Saga. Hence, they renew COE and causes supply to fall. 

 

so should we hope for KBW to ban Uber?  [laugh]

Yap. I had gave up looking at used car because the selling price just don't make sense..

 

nay, it makes a lot of sense...used car dealers  [:p]

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Govt is unlikely to ban Uber but may impose some rules/regulation for Uber drivers.  This is because Govt is pro-business and Uber is also a form of public transport.  I think this is part of Govt plan to suppress car ownership.

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